Tuesday, January 31, 2012
S&P 500 Intraday Bias, 1/31/12
At 9:51 AM, the bias is Negative, suggesting sell the rallies intraday.
Monday, January 30, 2012
S&P 500 Intraday Bias, 1/30/12
At 10:00 AM, Negative, suggesting sell the rallies intraday.
Should be able to post on a daily basis again.
Should be able to post on a daily basis again.
Friday, January 27, 2012
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Expecting Correction - In 1330 Target Zone
Several things are going on in the chart below that suggest a correction is imminent around current levels.
First is that RSI is at about 70. This is a usual overbought level after which a correction follows.
Second is that the 50 day moving average is near crossing the 200 day moving average. Although this is classically considered a bullish "golden cross," it can also be interpreted as a target area; consider the approaching of a golden cross as technical "news"-- sell the news. Earlier in the chart is a "death cross" which marked a bottom slightly earlier. A death cross also marked a price bottom in the Summer of 2010 correction.
The big blue boxes in the chart are approximate equal length, 62-65 points. I've circled in blue tops and bottoms which coincided with the box levels. Adding a box on top of the prior 1267 top yields a target of 1329-1332.
Adding all this evidence together makes for a bearish case, indicating a drop from current levels.
First is that RSI is at about 70. This is a usual overbought level after which a correction follows.
Second is that the 50 day moving average is near crossing the 200 day moving average. Although this is classically considered a bullish "golden cross," it can also be interpreted as a target area; consider the approaching of a golden cross as technical "news"-- sell the news. Earlier in the chart is a "death cross" which marked a bottom slightly earlier. A death cross also marked a price bottom in the Summer of 2010 correction.
The big blue boxes in the chart are approximate equal length, 62-65 points. I've circled in blue tops and bottoms which coincided with the box levels. Adding a box on top of the prior 1267 top yields a target of 1329-1332.
Adding all this evidence together makes for a bearish case, indicating a drop from current levels.
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Monday, January 23, 2012
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Monday, January 16, 2012
fyi
I will be traveling the next couple of weeks. I will try to post when I can, but I cannot predict it and it will be sporadic. Have fun!
Thursday, January 12, 2012
S&P 500 Intraday Bias 1/12/12
Edit*: At 10:25 AM, Negative, suggesting sell the rallies intraday.
*I had written, "Negative, suggesting buy the dips intraday" originally. That was a mistake.
Update, 11:55 AM, the bias has strengthened to neutral.
*I had written, "Negative, suggesting buy the dips intraday" originally. That was a mistake.
Update, 11:55 AM, the bias has strengthened to neutral.
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Monday, January 9, 2012
Friday, January 6, 2012
Thursday, January 5, 2012
Wednesday, January 4, 2012
S&P 500 Intraday Bias, 1/4/12
At 10:16 AM, Negative, suggesting sell the rallies intraday.
UPDATE, 12:00 PM, the bias has strengthened to Neutral.
UPDATE, 12:00 PM, the bias has strengthened to Neutral.
Tuesday, January 3, 2012
S&P 500 Intraday Bias, 1/3/12
At 10:12 AM, Positive, suggesting buy the dips intraday.
Update 12:08 PM, the bias has weakened to Neutral.
Update 12:08 PM, the bias has weakened to Neutral.
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